Sunday, March 4, 2018
PREDICTION: THIS WILL BE THE LOWEST-RATED OSCAR SHOW IN HISTORY
NO MATTER WHAT, I LOOK FORWARD TO THE OSCARS EVERY YEAR. I have been many times, and it's always an amazing in-person experience. I have no doubt that those who attend will enjoy it. I totally believe in honoring great performances. Have all Oscar winners deserved to win or deserved to get an Oscar for the film for which they are nominated? No. There are behind-the-scenes reasons; backlashes; over-funded ad campaigns that tip something at the last minute--just to name a few reasons.
Tonight's show will be low-rated or two reasons:
The majority of the people in the United States who live BETWEEN east and west coasts, have NOT EVEN SEEN OR HEARD OF most of the nominated movies. There is no runaway hit. That always results in lower ratings. In all of this year's Best Picture Nominees, there isn't one that exploded across the nation.
The second reason is fatigue---fatigue of way too many awards shows, and, also, specifically Oscar fatigue. When the Oscars turned into so publicly a political football, much of the entertainment factor was lost. The "fly-overs" tuned out. They (and I, actually) would prefer to have at least three hours of respected honoring focused on movies and art.
We all know who will win--SHAPE OF WATER (with only possible upset being THREE BILLBOARDS); Gary Oldman, Frances McDormand, Allison Janney, and Sam Rockwell. They all deserve it. It's not their fault that all the suspense has been taken away by prior awards shows. That didn't used to happen. It was the Oscar show all alone.
The world must always continue evolving and progressing in order to continue. Things change over time. Sometimes it's hard to accept.